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BUYING AND SELLING HALF POINTS - TOTALS

The half point charts show the push percent on NFL, NBA, NCAA football and basketball totals and can be used to determine when it is advantageous to buy or sell a half point.

Unlike football point spreads, key numbers are not obvious when evaluating totals. It will be up to the individual bettor to decide if buying a half point on a total provides enough value to warrant the price. As a general rule there is probably little or no advantage paying more than 5ยข on totals.

For the sake of being concise we are showing only the most frequent range of totals.

NFL 2009-18
Total Push% Probability Price
38 2.31% 51.15% $0.05
39 2.65% 51.32% $0.05
40 4.06% 52.03% $0.08
41 4.58% 52.29% $0.10
42 2.11% 51.05% $0.04
43 4.52% 52.26% $0.09
44 3.91% 51.96% $0.08
45 2.02% 51.01% $0.04
46 2.42% 51.21% $0.05
47 2.17% 51.08% $0.04
48 0.78% 50.39% $0.02
49 1.60% 50.08% $0.03
50 2.63% 51.32% $0.05
51 3.42% 51.71% $0.07
ALL 2.78% 51.39% $0.06
NBA 2009-18
Total Push% Probability Price
199 2.63% 51.31% $0.05
200 2.35% 51.63% $0.07
201 1.20% 50.60% $0.02
202 2.43% 51.21% $0.05
203 1.43% 50.72% $0.03
204 2.40% 51.20% $0.05
205 3.06% 51.53% $0.06
206 2.28% 51.14% $0.05
207 2.65% 51.32% $0.05
208 2.72% 51.36% $0.06
209 2.02% 51.01% $0.04
210 1.41% 50.70% $0.03
211 1.72% 50.86% $0.04
212 3.68% 51.84% $0.08
ALL 2.48% 51.24% $0.05
NCAA Football 2009-18
Total Push% Probability Price
47 1.90% 50.95% $0.04
48 3.89% 51.95% $0.08
49 1.87% 50.93% $0.04
50 1.55% 50.78% $0.03
51 1.71% 50.86% $0.03
52 3.43% 51.72% $0.07
53 2.23% 50.74% $0.05
54 1.27% 51.11% $0.03
55 3.00% 51.50% $0.06
56 1.20% 50.60% $0.02
57 3.85% 51.93% $0.08
58 2.14% 51.07% $0.04
59 3.48% 51.74% $0.07
60 0.51% 50.25% $0.01
ALL 2.27% 51.14% $0.05
NCAA Basketball 2014-18
Total Push% Probability Price
135 2.80% 51.40% $0.06
136 2.82% 51.41% $0.06
137 2.99% 51.49% $0.06
138 2.08% 51.04% $0.04
139 2.71% 51.36% $0.06
140 2.38% 51.19% $0.05
141 2.68% 51.34% $0.06
142 2.25% 51.12% $0.05
143 2.98% 51.49% $0.06
144 2.26% 51.13% $0.05
145 2.19% 51.10% $0.04
146 1.08% 50.90% $0.04
147 2.53% 51.26% $0.05
148 1.85% 50.93% $0.04
ALL 2.40% 51.02% $0.05

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