The half point charts show the push percent on NFL, NBA, NCAA
football and NCAA basketball totals. They can be used to determine when it is advantageous to buy or sell a
half point.
Unlike football point spreads, key numbers are less obvious when evaluating
totals. It will be up to the individual bettor to decide if
buying a half point on a total provides enough value to warrant the
price. Although there are a few exceptions as a general rule there is probably little or no
advantage paying more than 5ยข on full game totals.
For the sake of being concise we are showing only the most frequent
range of totals.
NFL 2009-18 |
Total |
Push% |
Probability |
Price |
38 |
2.31% |
51.15% |
$0.05 |
39 |
2.65% |
51.32% |
$0.05 |
40 |
4.06% |
52.03% |
$0.08 |
41 |
4.58% |
52.29% |
$0.10 |
42 |
2.11% |
51.05% |
$0.04 |
43 |
4.52% |
52.26% |
$0.09 |
44 |
3.91% |
51.96% |
$0.08 |
45 |
2.02% |
51.01% |
$0.04 |
46 |
2.42% |
51.21% |
$0.05 |
47 |
2.17% |
51.08% |
$0.04 |
48 |
0.78% |
50.39% |
$0.02 |
49 |
1.60% |
50.08% |
$0.03 |
50 |
2.63% |
51.32% |
$0.05 |
51 |
3.42% |
51.71% |
$0.07 |
ALL |
2.78% |
51.39% |
$0.06 |
NBA 2009-18 |
Total |
Push% |
Probability |
Price |
199 |
2.63% |
51.31% |
$0.05 |
200 |
2.35% |
51.63% |
$0.07 |
201 |
1.20% |
50.60% |
$0.02 |
202 |
2.43% |
51.21% |
$0.05 |
203 |
1.43% |
50.72% |
$0.03 |
204 |
2.40% |
51.20% |
$0.05 |
205 |
3.06% |
51.53% |
$0.06 |
206 |
2.28% |
51.14% |
$0.05 |
207 |
2.65% |
51.32% |
$0.05 |
208 |
2.72% |
51.36% |
$0.06 |
209 |
2.02% |
51.01% |
$0.04 |
210 |
1.41% |
50.70% |
$0.03 |
211 |
1.72% |
50.86% |
$0.04 |
212 |
3.68% |
51.84% |
$0.08 |
ALL |
2.48% |
51.24% |
$0.05 |
NCAA Football 2009-18 |
Total |
Push% |
Probability |
Price |
47 |
1.90% |
50.95% |
$0.04 |
48 |
3.89% |
51.95% |
$0.08 |
49 |
1.87% |
50.93% |
$0.04 |
50 |
1.55% |
50.78% |
$0.03 |
51 |
1.71% |
50.86% |
$0.03 |
52 |
3.43% |
51.72% |
$0.07 |
53 |
2.23% |
50.74% |
$0.05 |
54 |
1.27% |
51.11% |
$0.03 |
55 |
3.00% |
51.50% |
$0.06 |
56 |
1.20% |
50.60% |
$0.02 |
57 |
3.85% |
51.93% |
$0.08 |
58 |
2.14% |
51.07% |
$0.04 |
59 |
3.48% |
51.74% |
$0.07 |
60 |
0.51% |
50.25% |
$0.01 |
ALL |
2.27% |
51.14% |
$0.05 |
NCAA Basketball 2014-18 |
Total |
Push% |
Probability |
Price |
135 |
2.80% |
51.40% |
$0.06 |
136 |
2.82% |
51.41% |
$0.06 |
137 |
2.99% |
51.49% |
$0.06 |
138 |
2.08% |
51.04% |
$0.04 |
139 |
2.71% |
51.36% |
$0.06 |
140 |
2.38% |
51.19% |
$0.05 |
141 |
2.68% |
51.34% |
$0.06 |
142 |
2.25% |
51.12% |
$0.05 |
143 |
2.98% |
51.49% |
$0.06 |
144 |
2.26% |
51.13% |
$0.05 |
145 |
2.19% |
51.10% |
$0.04 |
146 |
1.08% |
50.90% |
$0.04 |
147 |
2.53% |
51.26% |
$0.05 |
148 |
1.85% |
50.93% |
$0.04 |
ALL |
2.40% |
51.02% |
$0.05 |
|